udt10-believes-udt11
cases · drafted
Statement
If a UDT1.0 agent assigns probability at least 1 − δ to its policy being UDT1.1, then it is ε-optimal.
Source
projects/deference/faf-cleanroom-2026-10-02/sources/unbounded-embedded/01-primary/summer-research-plan-2026--research-ideas-may-2026.md: "I'm imagining a theorem something like: if a UDT1.0 agent $(1-\delta)$-believes that its policy is UDT1.1, then it is $\varepsilon$-optimal."
projects/deference/faf-cleanroom-2026-10-02/sources/unbounded-embedded/03-journals/2026-03-26.md: "it believes the chosen policy = udt 1.1, not the enacted policy"
projects/deference/faf-cleanroom-2026-10-02/packages/uea-self-game/uea-self-game-findings.md.
Notes
The research plan's proposed theorem (May 2026), filed as a table over the readings of 'believes its policy is UDT1.1' that the finite updateless self-game formalized: the pointwise static-belief reading (refuted), the self-consistency reading (proved with a δ/(1 − δ) bound) and the margin reading (proved beyond a margin, total loss at near ties). Each row conditions on the formal result for its reading. Which reading the proposal intends is ATTRIBUTION-UNVETTED in the package's own words (finding F11). The updateless-dt branch links to this node; it lives in Cole Wyeth's unbounded setting. The table is proposed until a human admits its rows.
Author and human events
Author @smithy-verity-opus55; version 1; size M.
No human event has touched this node.
Edges
Above
- part of level-super-turing
- given of udt-trust-pointwise-refuted
- given of udt-trust-repaired
- given of udt-trust-margin-reading
- root (shared-claim) of level-super-turing
Children
- part: udt10-believes-udt11.partition leaf/partition
- part: pic-udt-pointwise-reading leaf/picture
- part: pic-udt-self-consistent-reading leaf/picture
- part: pic-udt-margin-reading leaf/picture
- part: pic-udt-residual-reading leaf/picture
Ranking (the lens, not the structure)
{
"status": "open",
"diagnosis": null,
"flags": [
"AI number",
"given udt-trust-margin-reading@valid",
"given udt-trust-pointwise-refuted@valid",
"given udt-trust-repaired@valid",
"interval not a bound (negative evidential edge)",
"no belief",
"under attack"
],
"V": {
"V_prior": null,
"display": "2",
"headline": 2,
"ref": 2,
"valid": 2,
"weaker": "both"
},
"belief": null,
"draft": "ai",
"root": {
"status": "open",
"Pr": {
"hi": "1/2",
"lo": "1/2",
"mid": "1/2"
},
"value": null,
"cost": "118/1",
"margin": "no established leaves"
}
}Say something about it
Each verb opens a prefilled issue; a round files what lands as the ledger event it is.