Alignment Workspace

counterfactuals-for-embedded-agents

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Statement

The counterfactuals an embedded agent's decision rule uses are specified in both halves: for decision problems with predictors, the referent the formal core's counterfactual structure is calibrated to; for logical counterfactuals, Troll Bridge and its Löbian lesion classified in provability logic with their logical-induction forms decided.

Source

projects/decision-theory/decision-problems-note-dump-2026-10-01/decision-problems-v2.md, section 10, Q6 (the counterfactual referent); projects/deference/faf-cleanroom-2026-10-02/sources/decision-problems/two-lesions-doc-2026-09-18.md (the maintainer's document on the two lesions and Troll Bridge).

Notes

The third mid-level goal. Filed as an and of its two halves because the word 'counterfactuals' covers both and neither alone is the goal; the split into halves is the filing session's reading of the September 2026 thread. Live work: the directions and wiki pages of the decision-problems folder (AI-drafted; public copies under the clean-room sources) and the clean-room packages dp-referents-cdt, dp-causal-consist, dp-troll-bridge and dp-learner-nr.

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Author @smithy-verity; version 1; size L.

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