predictor-counterfactual-referent
or · drafted
Statement
The formal core's counterfactual structure is calibrated to a stated referent, with the rules for the structure derived from that calibration, by at least one of: policy-responsiveness as the criterion; the clean-source correction separating prediction from logical dependence; a learnable grade of non-responsiveness.
Source
projects/decision-theory/decision-problems-note-dump-2026-10-01/decision-problems-v2.md, section 10, Q6: "Is there a neutral referent, or is the absence of one itself the correct formal verdict on the CDT/EDT dispute?"
Notes
The predictor half. Each child is an AI-proposed answer in the directions and wiki pages under the clean-room sources (projects/deference/faf-cleanroom-2026-10-02/sources/decision-problems/).
Author and human events
Author @smithy-verity; version 1; size M.
No human event has touched this node.
Edges
Above
Children
- part: policy-responsiveness-criterion leaf/question
- part: clean-source-vs-llc leaf/question
- part: non-responsiveness-learnable leaf/question
Ranking (the lens, not the structure)
{
"status": "open",
"diagnosis": null,
"flags": [],
"V": {
"V_prior": null,
"display": "2",
"headline": 2,
"ref": 2,
"valid": 2,
"weaker": "both"
},
"belief": null,
"draft": "ai"
}Say something about it
Each verb opens a prefilled issue; a round files what lands as the ledger event it is.