theorem-b-robust-self-trust
leaf/step · drafted
Statement
For every efficiently describable question sequence, rational t and δ > 0, the human's soft total trust in a fallible forecaster of its own future self falls short by at most (1 + t) times the human's expectation of min(1, |a_n − Y_n|/δ), so composition closes under per-day accuracy.
Source
projects/deference/note-dump-2026-08-11/varying-question-lab/route-transitivity.md, Theorem B: "PROVED modulo (Γ-REP). FULL LIMIT, all days, no visibility assumption", and Corollary B.1.
Notes
Prose, about 0.88 in the lab, unvetted; not in Lean (task theorem-b-lean-target).
Author and human events
Author @smithy-verity-opus55; version 1; size M.
No human event has touched this node.
Edges
Above
- part of inter-inductor-total-trust
- root (shared-claim) of inter-inductor-total-trust
Ranking (the lens, not the structure)
{
"status": "open",
"diagnosis": null,
"flags": [
"AI number"
],
"V": {
"V_prior": null,
"display": "2",
"headline": 2,
"ref": 2,
"valid": 2,
"weaker": "both"
},
"belief": {
"J": 0,
"mid": "33/40",
"range": [
"13/40",
"1/1"
],
"width": "1/1"
},
"draft": "ai",
"root": {
"status": "open",
"Pr": {
"hi": "1/1",
"lo": "13/40",
"mid": "33/40"
},
"value": null,
"cost": "85/1",
"margin": "no established leaves"
}
}Say something about it
Each verb opens a prefilled issue; a round files what lands as the ledger event it is.